BREAKING: Super Bowl LX line jolts again. Books I checked this morning are now dealing Seattle at 4.5 points. Some shops touched 5.5 overnight, then snapped back when Patriots money showed up. The market is hot, and the split between big wagers and ticket count is striking.
The Numbers Right Now
Super Bowl LX kicks at Levi’s Stadium on February 8, 2026. As of this hour, here is the board across major markets, with consensus pricing steadying.
- Spread: Seahawks -4.5 at -115, Patriots +4.5 at -105
- Moneyline: Seattle around -230, New England around +190
- Total: 46.5, with the over drawing more interest
Handle and ticket splits tell the story. On the moneyline, about 57 percent of the cash is on Seattle, while roughly 58 percent of tickets ride New England. That points to bigger bets on the favorite, and more, smaller tickets on the underdog. Against the spread, Patriots +4.5 owns the window, roughly 78 percent of tickets and 82 percent of handle. The over at 46.5 is the popular lean, sitting near 60 percent of tickets and 62 percent of money.
Big money favors Seattle to win outright, while volume piles on New England to keep it close.
Why The Line Moved
Books opened Seattle -3.5 after Championship Sunday. Seahawks support came in fast. That pushed the number to -5.5 before resistance met the board. New England backers took the 5.5 and the 5. The market then settled near -4.5, a middle ground that respects both sides.
This pattern fits the early Super Bowl dance. Sharps are leaning Seattle on the moneyline, taking shorter variance and backing the better top end. Public bettors are grabbing points with a proud franchise in a one game final. The spread handle on New England shows this is not only small money. Larger players also see value at +4.5 and better.
The total is ticking up because both offenses can threaten space. Bettors expect clean weather and a fast surface in Santa Clara. Books have shaded the under to -115 to balance that flow, but the over still draws more tickets.
The Football Case
Seattle’s surge comes from explosive perimeter play and a flexible run game. They create stress with motion, stacks, and tempo. Their pass rush wins with speed and games inside, which can flip third downs. In a neutral site, high leverage downs decide everything. Seattle’s late down offense has stacked wins for two months.
New England brings discipline and patience. The defense squeezes the red zone and forces long fields. They tackle well in space. On offense, they value the ball, play action, and timely shots. They are comfortable in tight scripts and ugly games. That profile pairs well with a plus number on the spread, especially around 4, 5, or 6.
Special teams could swing a possession. Field position and hidden yards matter in this stadium. The kicking game is steady on this surface, and return units will get their chances.
Key numbers matter. Three and six are the magnets. Every half point around them has real value.
How To Time Your Bet
If you like Seattle, consider the moneyline early. Bigger wagers keep showing up on the favorite to win. That pressure can push the ML price higher. The spread could drift to 5 again, but buyers have been quick at those tags.
If you like New England, patience can pay. We have already seen 5.5 flash. Late in Super Bowl week, dog money often reappears when limits go up. Watch for 5 or better. At +5.5, New England becomes far more attractive for many models and for teasers.
The total sits at 46.5 and invites over tickets. If injury updates or wind reports nudge the market, an under 47.5 would draw pros. Right now, over backers are ahead of the move, and the price is starting to reflect that.
Injury and practice reports can flip a Super Bowl market in one hour. Confirm status before you fire.
Final Word
This is a split market with clarity. Pros are tilting Seattle to win, public and plenty of sharp spread bettors are taking New England plus the points. The number told us that story at 3.5, then 5.5, and now 4.5. I expect more back and forth as limits rise. Watch the half points, manage your price, and keep an eye on late week news. The march to Santa Clara just turned into a sprint. 🏈
